Melbourne Cup 2015 International Raiders
The Melbourne Cup is just over a month away and we are starting to see this year’s internationals enter quarantine over at Werribee so know is a good a time as any to go through the strongest foreigners we have contending our great race. The Melbourne Cup has not been won by an Australian galloper since Shocking in 2009. All winners since then have flown over from Europe (2x France, 2x Ireland, 1x Germany) and it would be silly not to respect this year’s raiders.
Topping the 2015 list is the hot Japanese favourite, Fame Game. Fresh in Australia after being runner-up in the Group 1 Tenno Sho over 3200m. The run was seriously impressive. At his start prior he won a Group 3 over 3400m so we know he performs at the distance. His two other attempts over a similar distance have resulted in another Group 3 victory and a Group 1 sixth.
The other Japanese raider is the seven-year-old Hokko Brave. He finished a game sixth in the Tenno Sho finishing with 2L of the winner and 1.6L off Fame Game. His record over the long-distance is also strong finishing third and fifth in a Group 1 and Group 2 respectively. He currently sits as third favourite in All-In betting.
When comparing both those to Admire Rakti who was last year’s Melbourne Cup favourite, they are both superior. Admire Rakti’s final run in Japan was a thirteenth in the 2014 Tenno Sho where Hokko Brave finished third. It’s scary to think how much better than our gallopers these two might be when recalling Admire Rakti in the Caulfield Cup. He blew them all away.
Moving further round the globe and to current second-favourite off his Lonsdale Cup win we have Max Dynamite. He blew other Melbourne Cup hopes in Big Orange and Trip To Paris away last month to win by almost five lengths and trainer Willie Mullins is getting him straight to Australia. He has really come into form when it matters has finished no worse than second at his past three starts, all have which been over 3200m-3300m.
Snow Sky is next on the list and is due to arrive in Australia in the next few days. He finished a long way off them at his most recent outing however didn’t handle the soft track and in his two attempts at the longer distances he managed a third in the Group 1 English St Leger and a first in the Group 2 Yorkshire Cup so we know he runs the trip.
The Irish St Leger winner Order Of St George has yet to be confirmed for the Melbourne Cup by trainer Aiden O’Brien but will be in the market if he decides to make the trip with this talented three-year-old colt. He continued his winning streak with an almost unheard of ELEVEN length victory in the Group 1. He’s only a baby but would have be a leading contender if he’s lining up on the day.
Aiden O’Brien has two others that are confirmed for the race in Bondi Beach and Kingfisher. Bondi Beach is a newly crowned Group 1 winner after being handed the English St Leger on protest early last week. He has progressed through the grades and thoroughly deserved that race. Kingfisher would have to show me more to get interested after he dropped out of the Irish St Leger and finished forty-three lengths off Order Of St George.
And finally my group wouldn’t be complete without crowd favourite Red Cadeaux. The nine-year-old gelding hasn’t won since late 2012 but has famously run second in three Melbourne Cups (2011, 2013 & 2014) and a further five seconds in Group races elsewhere. Incredible! This year he won’t be staying in his own barn (named after him) at Werribee due to the large number of internationals making the trip. Perhaps the change of home will be what it takes for the people’s champion to break his Melbourne Cup duck!
It’s very hard to ignore the run of Fame Game in Japan and he deserves favouritsm this far out. Red Cadeaux has shown us he loves this race and I’ll having a small bet on the day. You’ll likely get better than $26 currently available.
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Fame Game $8
Max Dynamite $13
Hokko Brave $16
Snow Sky $16
Order Of St George $18
Bondi Beach $26
Red Cadeaux $26