Free Horse Racing Tips – Sunday 01/10/2017

Underwood Stakes, Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes – Caulfield Tips

The Underwood Stakes is a good tune-up race for horses heading into the major Group 1 events during the next month. The Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes meanwhile, features a full field of 16 runners. Sure to be a scramble from the awkward 1400 metre barrier.

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It’s a small field, but a high-quality one. The result will go some way to sorting out the pathway and plans for some of these horses heading deep into the Spring Carnival.

Underwood Stakes (1800 metres)

Here is how they will line up in the Underwood Stakes:

1 HARTNELL, J Cummings, K McEvoy, 8, 59kg, $2.05
2 BLACK HEART BART, D Weir, B Rawiller, 9, 59kg, $4.80
3 GAILO CHOP, D Weir, M Zahra, 1, 59kg, $11.00
4 HE’S OUR ROKKII, D & B Hayes, T Dabernig, R Bayliss, 2, 59kg, $26.00
5 INFERENCE, W, M J Hawkes, D Dunn, 6, 58kg, $31.00
6 SINGLE GAZE, N Olive, K O’Hara, 4, 57kg, $18.00
7 ABBEY MARIE, M Kent, TBA, 5, 57kg, $20.00
8 BONNEVAL, M Baker & A Forsman, H Bowman, 3, 56kg, $4.80
9 SAMOVARE, D & B Hayes, T Dabernig, D Lane, 7, 56kg, $19.00

Looking at the field, it would suggest it’s a three-horse battle in Hartnell, Black Heart Bart, and Bonneval. Though I’m sure the other six runners will be looking to challenge hard. Let’s go through the field.

Hartnell is probably the proven runner in the Underwood with numerous victories in amongst top-class fields. When wonder mare Winx isn’t running, he’s more favoured to win. Is capable over short distance and long, and if he’s close to the leaders, then expect a sustained run from the top of the straight. Certainty for your multiples. $2.05

Former Western Australian Black Heart Bart has really found a new lease of life since transferring to Darren Weir’s Victorian operation. This time last year, he was gobbling up Group 1 races for breakfast, including winning the Underwood. Would prefer to race up to the 1600 distance, but bigger prizes loom beyond that distance including this race, the Caulfield Stakes and the W.S Cox Plate. Sure to figure at the business end of the race. $4.50

New Zealand mare Bonneval is the top-gun from the small but talented Murray Baker and Andrew Forsman stable. She is expected to give the top two chances a severe shake-up on Sunday. Her first-up victory in the Dato Nim Chan Stakes was a pleasant surprise, albeit in a race led and interrupted by a riderless horse. Everyone will have a better perspective of her chances leading into the big races yet to come. She’s my pick of the yard, though rider Hugh Bowman will be looking to make amends for a series of shocking rides on Moir Stakes night at The Valley. $4.50

Gailo Chop is a former winner of the L.K.S McKinnon Stakes and is the second of the Darren Weir horses. The former European trained galloper has only recently returned to competitive racing after a tendon injury forced a long layoff. A victory over in Adelaide in the Penny Edition Stakes followed by an encouraging fourth to Humidor in the Makybe Diva Stakes two weeks back will have trimmed him up nicely. Another close-up performance should see him peaking as the Spring Carnival continues. $11.00

The Hayes/Dabernig team scratched He’s Our Rokkii from Saturday’s Epsom Handicap to focus on the Underwood, which is closer to home. This horse’s favourite distance is a mile, but he’s good enough on his day to give a field like this a scare. Expect to see his starting price drop during the day. $26.00

Canberra visitor Single Gaze has raced up and down the Eastern Seaboard most of her career, with her biggest success being the 2016 Group 1 Vinery Stud Stakes at Rosehill. She also had the ignominy of falling in the ATC Oaks a few weeks later, landing rider Kathy O’Hara in hospital with a serious injury. A consistent type, with 13 wins and places out of 24 starts. Good for the multiples. $18.00

Samovare is a young mare on the rise. Previously trained out of Perth W.A, she transferred to the Hayes/Dabernig stable and is coming through the benchmark races quite nicely. A second placing to Harlem in last week’s Foundation Cup probably cemented her run in the Underwood, though she’ll be up against high-class opposition for the first time. Damian Lane to ride. $19.00

Winner:
Bonneval $4.50

Trifecta:
Bonneval, Hartnell, Black Heart Bart

Best Roughie:
He’s Our Rokkii $26.00


Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400 metres)

Here is how they will line up in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes:

1 IT’S SOMEWHAT, J Cummings, H Bowman, 13, 58kg, $21.00
2 LUCKY HUSSLER, D Weir, M Zahra, 12, 56.5kg, $41.00
3 SCALES OF JUSTICE, L Smith, B Rawiller, 7, 56kg, $3.00
4 TOSEN STARDOM, D Weir, B Shinn, 16, 55.5kg, $6.50
5 GRANDE ROSSO, D & B Hayes, T Dabernig, C Brown, 10, 52.5kg, $15.00
6 CHARMED HARMONY, J Sadler, K Mallyon, 3, 52kg, $19.00
7 SOVEREIGN NATION, D & B Hayes, T Dabernig, R Bayliss, 9, 52kg, $19.00
8 CANNYESCENT, D & B Hayes, T Dabernig, B Mertens, 15, 52kg, $31.00
9 SANTA ANA LANE, A Freedman, D Yendall, 8, 52kg, $15.00
10 THEANSWERMYFRIEND, R Smerdon, K McEvoy, 11, 52kg, $8.00
11 SO SI BON, R Laing, C Newitt, 2, 52kg, $17.00
12 EL DIVINO, D Weir, M Dee, 6, 52kg, $51.00
13 ATTENTION, P & P Snowden, B Thompson, 1, 52kg, $31.00
14 MR SNEAKY, A Freedman, B Avdulla, 5, 52kg, $8.50
15 ROYAL TUDOR, R Ollerton, C Symons, 4, 52kg, $61.00
16 LAND OF PLENTY, G Begg, L Meech, 14, 52kg, $19.00

A big field of 16 runners line up for this event. The 1400 metre mark is always a challenge at Caulfield, as it’s only a short run to the first turn. Horses drawn wide will find it difficult to find cover. Inside runners usually get the benefit of conserving energy.

Group 1 winner Scales Of Justice looks like he will find plenty of friends in the punters ring come Sunday. The Perth galloper (from top W.A trainer Lindsey Smith’s Casuarina stable, just down the Kwinana Freeway) brings impeccable form into the Rupert Clarke (9 wins and 9 placings from 18 starts). Personally, it would be hard to bet against him. He is your anchor bet. $3.00

Darren Weir’s Tosen Stardom continues his return into a new preparation. Has had two encouraging runs in recent weeks (third to Hartnell and fifth to Vega Magic). Look for improvement from the former Japanese galloper. $6.50

I’m a very big fan of TheAnswerMyFriend, and in the Rupert Clarke, he gets his opportunity to land the big fish. Won The Sofitel a few weeks back, and is working his way steadily through the grades. Has very good form, but this field will be a step up in class for him. I will be an interested observer though. $8.00

The Doncaster Mile winner It’s Somewhat heads the standings, but the Godolphin galloper won’t be in the favoured group of selections. His Doncaster win was considered an upset, and being fresh up here carrying 58kg, asks the big question. I would prefer to see him further on in the Spring Carnival with a few more runs under his belt, say around Emirates Stakes day. $21.00

Another lightweight contender worthy of a look-in is the Mornington galloper Mr Sneaky. In recent times, this horse and his rival Theanswermyfriend seem to have been bumping into each other, as they both progress through the grades. He’s another with impeccable form since his first-up maiden win some 13 starts ago back in the winter of 2016. Certainly, Anthony Freedman has a good one on his hands here. Watch with interest. $8.50

He’s the sexiest horse going around at the moment, He’s the black flash known as So Si Bon. A placegetter in the Rosehill Guineas behind Kiwi Derby winner Gingernuts, everyone knows he’s got the potential, but it’s hard to gauge whether he’s a sprinter, miler or stayer. In the meantime, it looks like sprint races is where he will focus on. Maybe a shot for your multiples. $17.00

Winner:
Scales Of Justice $3.00

Trifecta:
Scales Of Justice, Tosen Stardom, Theanswermyfriend

Best Roughie:
Land Of Plenty $16.00

Underwood Stakes, Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes – check the odds on William Hill

September 30, 2017 by : • No Comments

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