Free Horse Racing Tips – Saturday 30/09/2017

Epsom Handicap, The Metropolitan and Flight Stakes – Royal Randwick Tips 1600m

The Epsom Handicap is a time-honoured race, run over a mile. It is the first of three Group 1 features at Royal Randwick this Saturday, We’ll preview some of the main contenders for this race and the other two (The Metropolitan and Flight Stakes), below.

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On what will be a busy day of racing at Royal Randwick, the Epsom Handicap is the feature Group 1 on the card. The middle distance stayers race: The Metropolitan and the Flight Stakes, run over 1600 metres for 3yo fillies, are the other two.

Epsom Handicap (1600 metres)

Here is how they will line up in the Epsom Handicap:

1 HAPPY CLAPPER, P Webster, B Shinn, 4, 57kg, $3.00
2 FOXPLAY, C Waller, H Bowman, 14, 54.5kg, $10.00
3 SOUND PROPOSITION, K Lees, C Brown, 10, 54kg, $13.00
4 HE’S OUR ROKKII, D & B Hayes, T Dabernig, D Dunn, 5, 53.5kg, $16.00 9(SCR)
5 RED EXCITEMENT, G Ryan, B Avdulla, 3, 53.5kg, $16.00
6 MCCREERY, C Waller, T Berry, 7, 53kg, $16.00
7 I AM A STAR, S Nichols, D Yendall, 2, 52.5kg, $26.00 (SCR)
8 ZANBAGH, J Thompson, D Lane, 9, 52.5kg, $17.00
9 TOM MELBOURNE, C Waller, G Boss, 13, 52kg, $8.00
10 EGG TART, C Waller, K McEvoy, 1, 51kg, $6.00 SCR
11 COMIN’ THROUGH, C Waller, J Moreira, 12, 51kg, $8.00
12 SAVILE ROW, M Moroney, J Ford, 8, 51kg, $61.00
13 SNITZSON, D & B Hayes, T Dabernig, C Parish, 6, 50.5kg, $41.00

Likely to be favourite is the topweight Happy Clapper, who is lining up here without the hindrance of wonder mare Winx in the same race. Ran a strong and brave second to her in the George Main Stakes two weeks back, and won the Tramway Stakes before that. Is trained on the track, 1600 metres is his pet distance, and sure to be taking in lots of money on race day. $3.00

Another to have encountered the Winx road-block is the 4yo mare Foxplay, one of five Chris Waller runners in the Epsom Handicap. She was a very useful 3yo, winning numerous races including the Group 1 Coolmore Queen Of The Turf Stakes in the Autumn. She could be there or thereabouts, and with Hugh Bowman aboard, her chances can never be discounted. $10.00

Egg Tart is another Waller entrant. During the week, the horse was plagued with injury concerns, and come race day that issue may still be a factor. If she does start, her chances are boosted by the inside gate and top jockey Kerrin McEvoy. Will be in the top three picks I’d suggest. $6.00

He’s a rising 8yo, but that hasn’t stopped Red Excitement from doing what he does best, and that is: leading from the front. He nearly stole the Chelmsford Stakes off Winx two starts back but didn’t get the same opportunity in the George Main Stakes as all the other riders were onto him. From a good barrier, likely to lead from the front, and who knows what will happen in a race like the Epsom? Brenton Avdulla comes in for regular rider Josh Parr. $16.00

Sure to attract a lot of attention is another Chris Waller starter: Comin’ Through. The winner of his last two starts (albeit in weaker company), and with Joao Moreira aboard, his opening price may fluctuate by race day. His Group level form-line probably isn’t as strong as his rivals, but may surprise. $8.00

The fifth Chris Waller entrant is Tom Melbourne. His new season form is encouraging, with three seconds. He’s a good honest type and will come into calculations due to the handicap conditions, and without giving significant weight away to other horses. Could be in with a shout, as his opening price indicates. $8.00

The Kris Lees trained Sound Proposition is one of the more underrated horses assembled here. The former Kiwi, previously trained by Lance O’Sullivan and Andrew Scott was a very handy juvenile and gained notoriety for being disqualified in Mongolian Khan’s 2015 New Zealand Derby after crossing the line third. Since transferring to Australia in May, he’s had three runs for two wins and a second, albeit in lower company. However, if the Lees Racing Team can get him to the start line on his best behaviour, he could end up being the blue smokey of the race. Keep a sideways glance on his Epsom odds during the day. $13.00

Winner:
Happy Clapper $3.00

Trifecta:
Happy Clapper, Egg Tart, Tom Melbourne

Best Roughie:
Sounds Proposition $13


The Metropolitan (2400 metres)

Here is how they will line up in The Metropolitan:

1 LIBRAN, C Waller, G Schofield, 3, 57kg, $5.00
2 WHO SHOT THEBARMAN, C Waller, H Bowman, 2, 57kg, $12.00
3 DESTINY’S KISS, J Pride, J Collett, 7, 55.5kg, $21.00
4 AMRALAH, R Hickmott, B Melham, 12, 55kg, SCR
5 BIG DUKE, D Weir, B Avdulla, 6, 55kg, $6.00
6 ANTONIO GIUSEPPE, C Waller, J Moreira, 4, 54.5kg, $5.00
7 CHOCANTE, S Marsh, C Brown, 1, 54.5kg, $11.00
8 BROADSIDE, G Waterhouse & A Bott, T Clark, 9, 52kg, $8.50
9 LIFE LESS ORDINARY, C Waller, K McEvoy, 11, 51kg, $5.50
10 FOUNDRY, R Hickmott, M Dee, 8, 50.5kg, $7.50
11 LORESHO, D Weir, D Yendall, 10, 50kg, $31.00
12 MY DIAMANTINE, B Smith, A Spinks, 5, 50kg, $101.00

It’s not the strongest field ever assembled for this race, and it has proved to be a good guide to races further into the Spring calendar.

At the top of the list is probable favourite Libran. A last start winner of the Kingston Town Stakes over 2000 metres on Sept 9th, he dispatched a few horses who will face him again on Saturday. I’m still not convinced of his credentials, though punters might tend to disagree. He had a tune up in the Chelmsford Stakes before that, running in Winx’s fairy dust. I’d be surprised if he holds his starting price by race-time. $3.00

Antonio Giuseppe is the second of the Waller runners, the former Kiwi putting together a useful portfolio since crossing the Tasman. This time last year he went on a winning spree through various benchmark races, before surprising everyone with his second (to Sir John Hawkewood) in this very race last year. Form since has been lukewarm, he’d need to improve vastly to where he was a year ago, $5.00

The former English galloper Life Less Ordinary looms as a definite prospect. He’s been in Australia for a year now and has strung together six starts for one win, three seconds, a third and a fifth. He’s been coming through into stronger company and could find himself running a place. I don’t think he can pull off a victory this weekend, but later down the track in other races? Definitely. $5.50

The New Zealander Chocante should rate higher than his starting price of $11.00, after wins in the Group 2 Brisbane Cup at Doomben, and a Group 3 win in the Counties Cup back home in NZ. Chocante will be looking for a track that has the sting taken out of it, though by all accounts, it should be a Good 4 come Saturday. Can certainly run the 2400 metres distance of The Metropolitan, but other factors may conspire against him. Worth a place bet.$11.00

The horse with a colourful name and equally colourful ownership. He’s Who Shot Thebarman, and he’s a proven two-miler, as we know with a third placing in the 2014 Melbourne Cup and a victory in the Group 1 Auckland Cup (2014) over 3200 metres. He’s won or placed in many Group races since, but not The Metropolitan, funnily enough. However, it wouldn’t surprise me if he figures in the finish somewhere. Hugh Bowman is the leading Group 1 winning jockey in the world, so anything is possible in a small field like this. $12.00

I’m not quite sure how Darren Weir’s Big Duke commands a starting price of $6.00, considering a weak form-line leading into this. Yes, he had a good string of results from last Christmas through to Autumn, racing in lesser events down in Tasmania and back up in Sydney where he won the Chairmans Handicap and placed third in the debacle that was the Sydney Cup. Perhaps that is where the good money is coming from? Take on trust I would suggest. $6.00

With Amralah scratched, it is left to Robert Hickmott’s second choice Foundry to fly the flag for Mount Macedon. The former Irish galloper has been in Australia for a few years now but hasn’t really kicked on, with only a solitary win and a succession of placings in lesser events. In fact, he’s spent more time in the spelling paddock than on the racecourse. It would surprise to see him in the first three, though the Hickmott camp may have other ideas. $7.50

Winner:
Libran $5.00

Trifecta:
Libran, Antonio Giuseppe, Who Shot Thebarman

Best Roughie:
Chocante $11.00


Flight Stakes (1600 metres)

Here is how they will line up in the Flight Stakes:

1 CHAMPAGNE CUDDLES, B Baker, J Collett, 11, 56kg, $4.20
2 ALIZEE, J Cummings, G Schofield, 10, 56kg, $2.80
3 ONE MORE HONEY, J Thompson, B Shinn, 2, 56kg, $8.00
4 CELLARGIRL, K Schweida, M Walker, 4, 56kg, $6.50
5 SWEET DEAL, J Thomspon, H Bowman, 5, 56kg, $15.00
6 I AM EXCITED, D Pfieffer, K McEvoy, 8, 56kg, $13.00
7 LEGAL GIRL, C Conners, C Brown, 7, 56kg, $17.00
8 PANDEMONIUM, G Waterhouse & A Bott, J Moreira, 3, 56kg, $7.50
9 SMOOTH LANDING, J Thompson, D Lane, 1, 56kg, $34.00
10 LUVALUVA, J Sargent, R King, 9, 56kg, $81.00
11 COLLEGE ROMANCE, A & E Cummings, T Clark, 6, 56kg, $151.00

Local Randwick trainer John Thompson has a Chris Waller like spread of horses entered (3), and while the two highest-rated horses at the top of the standings are standouts, the remainder is looking fairly skinny on quality. The Flight Stakes can be seen as a prelude to other 3yo fillies races later in the Spring Carnival, including the 1000 Guineas (Caulfield), the Wakeful Stakes and the Crown Oaks – both during the Melbourne Cup meeting (Flemington).

The Bjorn Baker filly Champagne Cuddles is one that is on the rise. Apart from the winner Trapeze Artist, Champagne Cuddles flew home from the back to run second in last weeks Golden Rose. In the scheme of things, that was an impressive trial for this race. No doubt soon, she’ll be gracing the Group 1 podium. It’s just a matter of when. $4.20

The Goldophin filly Alizee heads the betting, based on her last start win in the Tea Rose Stakes. Has bumped into a couple of top-class performers along the way such as Tulip, Formality and the aforementioned Champagne Cuddles, and this will be her first trip at 1600 metres, along with a few of her rivals. Should finish in the first three, in what order remains the big question. $2.80

The Queensland filly Cellargirl brings good form into the race. From seven starts she’s only been out of the running twice; one of which was a notable failure in the Gold Coast Magic Millions. Since then, she’s had some very useful runs including a third to Alizee in the Tea Rose Stakes. So on that form-line, she rates a definite prospect. $6.50

Pandemonium is the sole runner in the field for Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott. The Sebring filly had only passed maiden ranks six weeks ago and might find this field too strong, though having Joao Moreira may give her a chance. $7.50

Winner:
Champagne Cuddles $4.20

Trifecta:
Champagne Cuddles, Alizee, Cellargirl

Best Roughie:
Sweet Deal $15.00


The Epsom Handicap, The Metropolitan, plus Flight Stakes – check the odds on William Hill

September 29, 2017 by : • No Comments

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