Caulfield Group 1 Memsie Stakes Day Preview and Tips

Racing heads back to Caulfield this weekend for the Group 1 Memsie Stakes over 1400m and we are in for a great days racing with multiple other feature events on the card. The Caulfield track is rated a Good 3 as of Thursday morning however there has been approximately 15mm of rain today with more expected tomorrow. I would expect the track to race on about a Slow 5 on Saturday. The rail is out 6m for the entire course. Now let’s get into the racing.

Boban

Boban

Race 4

G3 H.D.F Mcneil Stakes 1200m 

The first feature event of the day sees the three-year-olds race over 1200m. On paper the race tempo looks fairly slow with Top Me Up the only natural leader. Gold Symphony was a strong winner last start after sitting three-wide without cover for the entire event and I’m tipping him to be able to do the same again from barrier 2. His main danger is the unbeaten colt Prince Of Brooklyn. He is resuming from a short spell and will likely be very close to Gold Symphony in the run. Ready For Victory was impressive in his Golden Slipper run earlier this year however will settle in the second half of the field and it will be tough for those sitting behind the speed. Demonstrate was unlucky running fourth behind Gold Symphony a fortnight ago and rounds out my top four. He will go closer with even luck though will also settle midfield at best from barrier 11.

H.D.F Mcneil Stakes Tips

Gold Symphony

Prince Of Brooklyn

Ready For Victory

Demonstrate

The early money has all been for Prince Of Brooklyn. He is now $3.20 to remain undefeated after opening at $4.60. Luxbet currently has Gold Symphony at $8.50 which represents a great each-way bet.

Race 5

G3 Theshark.com.au Stakes 1100m

The second feature of the day throws out a sprint for the older horses. Most of these are resuming with only two of eight runners having raced in the past three months.

Miss Promiscuity should be able to lead this without pressure and that should ensure another slowly-run race. Rich Enuff would usually challenge for the lead but from barrier 1 I believe Dwayne Dunn will be instructed to sit behind her. Rich Enuff  and Bounding are both resuming off long breaks but have serious claims here if right. I expect Bounding to find a forward position outside Rich Enuff without trouble from barrier 7. Thermal Current will also get a nice run from barrier 2 and will be poised to make a run at the top of the straight. With the lack of speed on paper in this event I see it hard to support any other runners other than Under The Louvre. His consistent performances mean you can’t discount him however he will settle near last and getting the win from there is an ask.

Theshark.com.au Stakes Tips

Bounding

Thermal Current

Rich Enuff

Under The Louvre

Luxbet has installed Rich Enuff as early favourite at $2.20.  There has been some money for Bounding at $4.40 and $4.20 and is now into $3.90Thermal Current has eased slightly to $11 and may be worth a small each-way ticket at those odds. I am sticking with Bounding. 

Race 7

G3 William Hill Sprint Series Ht 1100m

One for the mares in the seventh event on the card and the pattern continues with a severe lack of pace on paper here and more than half of these beginning their spring campaigns.

I find it hard to go past the 1st emergency, Vezalay, if she gets a start. She is coming off a win a fortnight ago at Caulfield when leading all the way and although this is harder, she will get it all her own way out in front once again. Hazard has drawn the widest gate so I fully expect Melham to push her forward. She doesn’t have a great first-up record but was a different horse last prep. She will need to settle forward to be a chance. Griante is in the same boat – drawn wide and must push forward to give herself a chance. Last start she sat outside the leader and only tired late to finish 9th. The race was set up for the swoopers and I don’t believe that will be the case this time. Madam Gangster will be another that has drawn wide and should take up a forward position from there. If she can reproduce her first-up run of last campaign she is right in this and she is my final pick in this large field.

William Hill Sprint Series Tips

Vezalay

Hazard

Griante

Madam Gangster

The only mover of note so far is Griante who has been $12-$8.50Vezalay is current favourite at $3.50.

Race 8

G1 Memsie Stakes 1400m

The main-event of the day where we’ll see a field of up to sixteen race for a total prize pool of $400,000 under Weight-For-Age conditions. There is a lot of speed engaged here which is a nice change. The backmarkers should be suited, especially if Charmed Harmony gets a run as 4th-emergency.

I see Entirely Platinum and Magicool gunning for the lead with Hi World potentially getting involved or sitting just behind them. With the strong speed on paper I see the race being set up for multiple Group 1 winner Boban. He was nearly unbeatable earlier in his career before struggling for a period in early 2015. Last campaign he put in two huge runs during the Queensland carnival and he is the one to beat based on those runs. I’m hoping Sertorius is ridden quietly from barrier 14 as I can see him flying home off the strong early tempo at big odds. In this race last year he put in a very similar run to Boban getting home well in a front-runner dominated race. His other first-up efforts have been impressive with two placings in a Group 1 and Group 2. Hi World has won his last three on the trot and resumes here from barrier 1.  He usually leads but will likely sit behind the leader from there and enjoy a perfect run in transit. Don’t be surprised to see Smokin’ Joey greatly improving off his P.B. Lawrence Stakes run where he had issues post-race and was ridden closer to the speed than usual. Another interesting runner worth mentioning is the 2nd-emergency Trevieres. The now seven-year-old gelding came to Australia in the spring of 2013 and flew home for 2nd in the G1 Toorak Hcp and hasn’t raced since. I couldn’t back a horse coming off such a long spell that has obviously had issues but I’m looking forward to seeing if the French-import can reproduce that run during the spring.

Memsie Stakes Tips

Boban

Sertorius

Hi World

Smokin’ Joey

No major moves as yet in the early markets. Boban at $4.80 looked a good price until I saw the $21 about Sertorius which is definitely worth a ticket.

Quaddie

2, 3, 16

3, 4, 8, 17

3, 6, 7, 13, 14

2, 3, 6, 13, 16

$100 = 33.33%

I prefer to go fairly thin when there are big fields to contend with as you can see. Your percentage dividend can come crashing down very quickly if you try to include all the chances. Feel free to take what you like.

Best Bet: Gold Symphony

Best Each-way: Sertorius 

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Good luck and happy punting!

August 27, 2015 by : • No Comments

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