AFL Round 9 Betting Preview 2017

AFL Betting Preview – Round 9

The Cats open the round with their first match at Kardina Park in 2017 as they face the Bulldogs on Friday night football. The Saints and Swans should be an interesting clash, as both teams are in winning form. We’ll also preview the Giants match against the Tigers. On Sunday, Melbourne will be looking for their first win over the Kangaroos in the last 15 matches.

Bet for Free previews the two best games of AFL Round 9, 2017 and we provide our best bets for each game.

Geelong Cats vs Western Bulldogs

Odds: Cats $2.05, Bulldogs $1.78

Form:

After five straight wins at the start of the season, the Cats have lost three in a row and were poor against the Bombers last Round. They have a great record against the Bulldogs, having not lost at home since 2003.

The Western Bulldogs are just inside the top eight with 5 wins and 3 losses. They lost against the Eagles on Friday night last week and face another challenge this Friday in Geelong.

Injuries/Suspensions:

Rhys Stanley is the only concern for the Cats with a knee issue.

The Bulldogs missed their skipper, Bob Murphy in Perth, but he should return this week.

Last 3 meetings:

Round 19, 2016
Simonds Stadium
Geelong defeats Western Bulldogs 103-78

Round 13, 2016
Etihad Stadium
Western Bulldogs defeated by Geelong 43-100

Round 16, 2015
Simonds Stadium Geelong defeats Western Bulldogs 72-64

Margin/Line betting:

6 of the las 7 games have finished under the 39 points margin in the favour of the Cats. We would expect the same as the Cats are currently struggling for form and the Bulldogs aren’t high scorers.

Total points:

The Bulldogs average just 65 in the last five matches against the Cats. They’ve also scored under 100 points in the last three this season. Geelong average 16.6 goals per game and have scored over 100 points in the last two meetings.

Prediction:

The Cats will be looking forward to playing in front of their home fans for the first time in 2017. The Bulldogs are coming off a tough match in Perth and might struggle in the first half. We’re going with the Cats in a 1-39 win.

Best bet: Cats WIN ($2.05)
Value bet: Cats 1-39 ($2.50)


GWS Giants vs Richmond Tigers

Odds: Giants $1.20, Tigers $4.50

Form:

The Giants stormed back against the Magpies last week for a close, three point win. They sit second on the ladder and have a 6-2 record.

Richmond have lost three in a row after starting the season with a 5-0 record. They lost on the siren against the Dockers after almost pulling off a 36 point turnaround.

Injuries/Suspensions:

Stephen Coniglio is back on the injury list for another 10 weeks.

The Tigers are injury free after the weekend.

Last 3 meetings:

Round 19, 2016
Manuka Oval
GWS defeats Richmond 111-23

Round 14, 2015
MCG
Richmond defeats GWS 78-69

Round 19, 2014
MCG
Richmond defeats GWS 89-62

Margin/Line betting:

Both sides look evenly matched in the stats. The Giants average 15 goals per game, 56.8 Inside 50s and 149.5 contested possessions. The Tigers average 13 goals per game, 55.6 Inside 50s and 147.1 contested possessions.

Total points:

The Tigers average just 69 points in their past three losses this season. While, the Giants have scored over 100 points in both matches this season at Spotless Stadium.

Prediction:

The battle between Nankervis and Mumford is the key to this game. Brodie Grundy gave the Pies midfield first use of the ball and Nankervis will need to do the same. The Giants thrashed the Tigers last season in Canberra, but we’re expecting a better showing by Richmond. Our prediction is the Giants to win by 1-39 but the Tigers to get within 29 points.

Best bet: Tigers +29.5 ($1.91)
Value bet: Giants 1-39 ($2.10)


Other Round 9 best bets:

Saints vs Swans

Best bet: Swans +4.5 ($1.91)

Lions vs Crows

Best bet: Crows -45.5 ($1.91)

Magpies vs Hawks

Best bet: Hawks +11.5 ($1.91)

Bombers vs Eagles

Best bet: Eagles 1-39 ($2.20)

Demons vs Kangaroos

Best bet: Demons -13.5 ($1.91)

Dockers vs Blues

Best bet: Dockers 1-39 ($1.91)

May 16, 2017 by : • No Comments

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