2018 Vinery Stud Stakes – Preview and Tips

The three-year-old fillies get another crack at a Group 1 prize, this time over the distance of 2000m for the Vinery Stud Stakes raced at Rosehill this weekend.

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Here’s the field as they line up for the 2018 Vinery Stud Stakes:

16x50 1. Aloisia (14), J: M Zahra, W: 56 kgs, 6.00
3x160 2. Alizee (9), J: B Avdulla, W: 56 kgs, 6.50
2x230 3. Bring Me Roses (10), J: L Currie, W: 56 kgs, 8.00
14x61 4. Luvaluva (13), J: K McEvoy, W: 56 kgs, 6.50 SCR
0x322 5. Torvill (11), J: C Reith, W: 56 kgs, 17.00
7x134 6. Rimraam (3), J: D Oliver, W: 56 kgs, 18.00
11x01 7. Unforgotten (8), J: H Bowman, W: 56 kgs, 4.80
X1623 8. Danzdanzdance (5), J: M Walker, W: 56 kgs, 8.50
343x3 9. Hiyaam (1), J: M Dee, W: 56 kgs, 17.00
1x112 10. All Too Soon (12), J: T Angland, W: 56 kgs, 18.00
1x375 11. Dancers (2), J: J Collett, W: 56 kgs, 41.00
2x411 12. Semari (7), J: C Williams, W: 56 kgs, 17.00
05x41 13. Miss Admiration (4), J: T Clark, W: 56 kgs, 61.00
__444 14. Madame Markievicz (6), J: C W Brown, W: 56 kgs, 151
.00

Looking at the SP’s for the Vinery Stud, I am surprised to see Chris Waller filly Unforgotten leading the way at $4.80. I’m thinking that the Group 1 Surround Stakes at the beginning of the month is the better form-guide, and in that race, she finished last. Yes, she won at her last start and was impressive in a weaker field than this, and only meets one of her rivals in this race. For me, the jury is still out.

At this time of the year, noted trainer of fillies John Sargent has another prospect that could emulate the feat of his former stars Kirramosa, Gust Of Wind and Thunder Lady. Winner of the Wakeful Stakes over 2000m on VRC Derby Day, there is a lot of upside to Luvaluva looking ahead to the ATC Australian Oaks. She’s a last start winner at Kembla Grange and should be right in the firing line for this despite drawing an outside alley.

Flight Stakes winner Alizee is not in the best form right now and would surprise if she got up for this.

One Thousand Guineas victor Aloisia is another above-average performer, who is also in a form drought at the moment. She is quite capable of winning this but would need to have things go her way. Wide draw doesn’t help.

Kiwi visitor Danzdanzdance finished third in the recent New Zealand Derby behind Vin De Dance and Mongolian Conqueror, and on that form-line (considering Vin De Dance‘s excellent run in the Rosehill Guineas last week), and over distance, she is being highly considered in the betting with an SP of $8.50. The grey filly is more than capable based on her recent NZ efforts. Form jockey Michael Walker to ride.

Victorian filly Bring Me Roses is a VRC Oaks placegetter (over 2500m) so the distance won’t be a problem. Though she finished 11th in the Coolmore Classic two weeks back, it was a packed finish, with thirteen runners all finishing within two lengths of each other. Sure to give a good account of herself now she is back to her own age group.

Torvill is one filly that is on a quick upward curve. Her recent results have been great, and if she was to take it up a notch, then a race such as the Vinery Stud Stakes is the place to do it. It’ll be her first go at 2000m, so that will be the only query I have, as others in this race have won at, or are proven over the distance.

Based on 2000m or more form-line, then the Lindsay Park filly Rimraam should be right in the frame. Has 2000m place form in the Wakeful (3rd to Luvaluva), the Ethereal (2nd to VRC Oaks winner Pinot), and came in third over 1600m in the Surround Stakes. At $18 for an SP, that is way over the market. Get in quick, is my suggestion.

The good thing about Victorian filly Hiyaam is her consistency in Group racing. A placegetter in the VRC Oaks behind Pinot and Bring Me Roses, distance won’t be a problem. She also placed in the Ethereal and Edward Manifold during the Spring. Her form is good, and don’t be fooled by her $17 SP. She is right in the mix here.

Outside of the major contenders, All Too Soon and Cranbourne visitor Semari both have good lower-grade form, but it would surprise if they got close to the action in this race.

Winner:
Based on John Sargent’s previous success with fillies, I’ll go with Luvaluva to take out this year’s running of the Vinery Stud Stakes, as she progresses through to an Australian Oaks campaign. Bring Me Roses for second, and Kiwi Danzdanzdance close up third. However, do keep the two Victorians Rimraam and Hiyaam in mind, as a possibility for wider betting options.

Trifecta
Luvaluva SCR, Bring Me Roses, Danzdanzdance, Torvill

Best Roughie:
Surely at $18, get on Rimraam.

Vinery Stud Stakes – check the odds on William Hill

March 29, 2018 by : • 1 Comment

One Response to “2018 Vinery Stud Stakes – Preview and Tips”

  1. Favourite Luvaluva scratched on Vet’s advice.

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