2018 South Australian Derby – Preview and Tips

The 2018 edition of the South Australian Derby features a full field of 16, plus 4 emergencies. Other than the first 7 gallopers, the field does tend to drop away in quality, so I think it would be fair to say that the winner is going to come from that select group.

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Here’s the field as they line up for the 2018 South Australian Derby:

60232 1. Tangled (15), J: M Walker, W: 56.5 Kgs, 6.00
47114 2. Money Maher (17), J: J Noske, W: 56.5 Kgs, 20.00
31241 3. Leicester (9), J: D Lane, W: 56.5 Kgs, 3.70
31758 4. Civil Disobedience (13), J: J Allen, W: 56.5 Kgs, 14.00
X4005 5. Main Stage (10), J: D Oliver, W: 56.5 Kgs, 12.00
_1215 6. Sherrif (12), J: L Innes, W: 56.5 Kgs, 9.00
02311 7. Runaway (14), J: S Baster, W: 56.5 Kgs, 12.00
02918 8. Won Won Too (4), J: J Childs, W: 56.5 Kgs, 41.00
X1005 9. Savaheat (2), J: D Yendall, W: 56.5 Kgs, 31.00
25122 10. Rezealient (5), J: Ms J Kah, W: 56.5 Kgs, 19.00
0x066 11. Silent Command (3), J: S Cahill, W: 56.5 Kgs, 61.00
X1801 12. Into Rio (7), J: D Thornton, W: 56.5 Kgs, 19.00
X5132 13. High 'N' Dry (18), J: A Mallyon, W: 56.5 Kgs, 6.00
15833 14. Amerock (20), J: H Coffey, W: 56.5 Kgs, 20.00
10x16 15. Nothin' Leica High (11), J: D Tourneur, W: 56.5 Kgs, 31.00
X6314 16. Box On Collins (16), J: L Currie, W: 56.5 Kgs, 31.00
72551 17. Tropical Lightning (6), J: T Pannell, W: 56.5 Kgs, 101.00 (E)
X6119 18. Delos (8), J: A Hyeronimus, W: 56.5 Kgs, 41.00 (E)
X1622 19. Johnny Vinko (1), J: D Dunn, W: 56.5 Kgs, 26.00 (E)
71304 20. Creedence (19), J: Tba, W: 56.5 Kgs, 31.00 (E)

It’s a reasonable field for this years South Australian Derby, but certainly not as high quality as we saw in the Victoria and ATC Australian Derbies run earlier in the season. Some of these colts have chased home the winners in both those events, such as Tangled and Main Stage. Darren Weir’s Civil Disobedience even flew across the Tasman to chase the prized New Zealand Derby, to no avail.

Trent Bussitin and Natalie Young have two contenders lined up, but only Main Stage is guaranteed a run. The promising Johnny Vinko is too far down the emergencies list to be considered a chance.

If all 16 horses line up, then the barriers will close up for a few of the gallopers, as Tropical Lightning, Delos and Creedence are drawn 6, 8 and 19. Johnny Vinko doesn’t count as he already drew barrier 1.

Let’s look at Darren Weir’s galloper Leicester. Lightly raced, and on form looks a bit green to be taking out a Group 1 feature so soon. He won at Morphettville last start over 2000m, but has not raced over 2400m, so that remains a query. If he gets up, then it’s on the Queensland Derby in a few weeks time.

Another who is a bit green is the Victorian High ‘N’ Dry. Bred to run over distance (sire High Chaparral), he’s another who’s lightly raced. But considering the depth of the field, it wouldn’t surprise if he finished in the placings. The market seems to think so, as he has an SP of $6.00.

The interesting runner of the field is the Kiwi three-year-old Sherrif who has made the trip across the Tasman. Admittedly, the quality of the three-year-olds out of New Zealand hasn’t been as strong in the 2017/2018 season as they have been in previous years. So it remains a mystery whether he can break the duck in the big Australian races where others (Vin De Dance, MongolianConqueror, Weather With You, Age Of Fire, Embellish, Endowment and Mission Hill) have not.

Tangled is probably the class horse of the field, having run over the distance, but this time doesn’t have to contend with the likes of Ace High, Lavendi or D’Argento who have displaced him into second in previous Group 1 events. I have a suspicion he could win this, and that Michael Walker lands another big prize this season.

A galloper with a real possible chance of victory is the Waterhouse/Bott trained Runaway, who won the VRC St Leger over 2800m on Anzac Day. This bloke looks like he could be a very good staying type next season. If he wins this, make that a certainty!

In the early part of the season I thought the Cranbourne galloper Main Stage would take all before him, following an impressive win in the UCI Stakes at Flemington in the Spring. Since then, he’s run fifth in both the Victoria and ATC Australian Derbies. He can certainly run the distance, but there remains some doubt over his application to the task. Damien Oliver gets the job this time around. Can he make the difference?

Winner:
For mine, I’ll go with Tangled. No real top-notch gallopers to contend with this time. For second, I’ll go with Runaway, followed by a much improved Main Stage.

Trifecta
b>Tangled, Runaway, Main Stage

Best Roughie:
My best roughie will be the local South Australian Box On Collins at $31.00. He battled home well last run for fourth, form prior to that was decent too. It did take him a wee while to break his maiden duck, but he’s off and away now.

South Australian Derby – check the odds on William Hill

May 11, 2018 by : • No Comments

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