2018 Queen Elizabeth Stakes – Preview and Tips

It’s the highlight of the Sydney Autumn Carnival. The Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Other than the champion mare Winx, the quality of the field falls away after the five best picks. Ten horses for huge prize money? Makes a mockery of what is an overall poor quality field, even if we are likely to witness her 25th victory in a row.

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Here’s the field as they line up for the 2018 Queen Elizabeth Stakes:

2x121 1. Happy Clapper (9), J: K Mcevoy, W: 59 Kgs, 17.00
11214 2. Gailo Chop (5), J: M Zahra, W: 59 Kgs, 15.00
0x418 3. Humidor (1), J: B Shinn, W: 59 Kgs, 12.00
50x92 4. Ambitious (7), J: C Williams, W: 59 Kgs, 34.00
2100x 5. Success Days (8), J: J Moreira, W: 59 Kgs, 34.00
1x738 6. Classic Uniform (4), J: A Adkins, W: 59 Kgs, 151.00
0x312 7. Comin' Through (2), J: M Walker, W: 59 Kgs, 41.00
8x642 8. Odeon (6) J: D Lane, W: 59 Kgs, 101.00
11x11 9. Winx (10), J: H Bowman, W: 57 Kgs, 1.16
24424 10. Consensus (3), J: J Collett, W: 57 Kgs, 126.00

Well, what can I say? For one of the richest races in the land, the Queen Elizabeth Stakes doesn’t even rate as a top 10 event in my view. Since the inception of The Championships, the ATC has failed consistently to draw a high-class field for this race, given the significant prize money on offer. And in 2018, the club have reached rock bottom with one of the poorest fields assembled for this so-called blue riband race.

Perhaps it’s the Winx factor? She should win the Queen Elizabeth Stakes in a canter and blindfolded. Let’s look for runner-ups.

He is possibly the best horse (other than Winx) over 2000m in Australia. Gailo Chop got found out over 2400m in the Tancred the other week, just as I thought. If he’s anywhere near the lead on the turn, he could give Winx a fright, but Hugh Bowman will have done his homework and won’t let him get too much of a head start.

I can’t quite believe Happy Clapper has an SP of $17. That’s outrageous considering he bowled his opposition over in the Doncaster. From the latest market, he’s come into A$12’s, but he’s still not in single figure odds. Maybe punters think he’s solely an out-an-out miler. There’s an element of truth in that, cause he’s never won at the distance, so doubts remain over his credentials for the Queen Elizabeth.

Humidor didn’t run so well in the Doncaster. The firmer track might have been his undoing, so too the shorter 1600m, but he’s right back to his pet distance, but the horses ahead of him in the pecking order might have something to say. Don’t discount him though.

Former Japanese galloper Ambitious answered a few of his critics in the Tancred the other week running second to Almandin. He’s better for the run and will be suited to the 2000m too. Not the least of chances, and at $34 on the tote, he’s my roughie.

Forget the others.

Winner:
Winx to win the Queen Elizabeth by one or two lengths and to make it 25 on the trot. Second goes to Gailo Chop and third to Ambitious.

Trifecta
Winx, Gailo Chop, Ambitious.

Best Roughie:
I’ll go with Ambitious at $34, though he is likely to start at less than that on race day.

Queen Elizabeth Stakes – check the odds on William Hill

April 13, 2018 by : • No Comments

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