2018 Futurity Stakes – Preview and Tips

Futurity Stakes, Caulfield Tips 1400m

The Futurity Stakes is more or less, a repeat of the C.F Orr Stakes from two weeks ago. Same track, same distance, and even some of the same contenders lining up. There will certainly be a different result though.

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Here’s the field:

181×0 1. Tosen Stardom (5), J: B Allen, W: 59 kgs, 6.00
3520x 2. Humidor (2), J: D Lane, W: 59 kgs, 7.00
23×53 3. Brave Smash (9), J: C Williams, W: 59 kgs, 3.60
6×165 4. Lord Of The Sky (7), J: D Oliver, W: 59 kgs, 13.00
4270x 5. Sovereign Nation (4), J: R Bayliss, W: 59 kgs, 26.00
20×28 6. Mr Sneaky (8), J: M Zahra, W: 59 kgs, 10.00
06334 7. Wyndspelle (6), J: B Mertens, W: 59 kgs, 41.00
4630x 8. Snitzson (1), J: K Mc Evoy, W: 59 kgs, 26.00
731×0 9. Shillelagh (11), J: M Dee, W: 57 kgs, 12.00
741×7 10. Mighty Boss (3), J: M Walker, W: 55.5 kgs, 5.50
510×2 11. Showtime (10), J: D Dunn, W: 55.5 kgs, 11.00

For me, the horse that came home the strongest in the Orr was third-placegetter Brave Smash. He didn’t have the kindest of runs and was only unleashed when the race was nearly over. Obviously, the punters took note and the SP has been framed at under $4.00 for this weeks Futurity. He cops a wider alley this time, which might make things awkward.

Which is something that Tosen Stardom found much to his dislike in that same race. He’s got a better alley this time (5) and won’t sit so far off the track. Expect a better run from this class act from the Darren Weir yard.

The third of the Weir runners is the well-performed Humidor. Probably better suited over 2000 metres or more, he might find many of these a bit sharp. Interesting that he didn’t line up in the first race of the day (Mornington Cup Prelude) which might have been more to his liking distance wise, though the field for that race is very strong.

I did back Mighty Boss in the Orr, and though he was placed seventh, it was a jam-packed finish, and he wasn’t far off the winner Hartnell. I’m going to be backing him again in the Futurity Stakes, and no doubt there will be some wise money on the flashy chestnut once more. Go you good thing!

Lord Of The Sky raced surprisingly well in good company in the Orr, and though typically a frontrunner, I doubt he’ll have it all his own way. Watch out if he does.

Shillelagh was one of disappointments of the race. She got too far back in the running, and this time she draws the outside alley. Will she come across from the awkward barrier, or sit in behind and pounce late? Either way, I don’t fancy her chances, if that last run was anything to go by.

We can’t discount Mr Sneaky either. He loves the course, and like Mighty Boss, wasn’t far off the winners in the Orr. He’s pretty handy in Group 1’s at Caulfield, and it wouldn’t surprise if he landed a big fish like the Futurity, and with the in-form Mark Zahra onboard, he should be given every chance.

Sydney Galloper Showtime should be remembered for his solid win in the Group 2 Stutt Stakes at Moonee Valley on Schweppes Stakes night. His recent second to Trapeze Artist in the Expressway Stakes has him primed and ready for this.

Of the others, Wyndspelle has some reasonable recent form, though really needs to get out of the gates quickly to be a chance. Her history suggests that exiting the barriers is not one of her strong points.

The Lindsay Park trained Snitzson is also a capable galloper, placing third in two Group 1’s: the Australian Guineas last year, plus also the Epsom Handicap. Hasn’t raced for a while, and might be off the speed but will certainly need the race. Has the inside gate and top jockey Kerrin McEvoy onboard. Could it be the roughie?

Sovereign Nation is the second of the Lindsay Park runners. Despite a good second to Tosen Stardom in the Toorak Handicap last year, he’s had two unflattering finishes in other Group 1 races during November 2017. Can’t quite see him getting up for this.

Winner
I’m going for Brave Smash this time around. I think he’ll have too much speed for the others, and so long as he is balanced up coming around the turn, his turn of foot should be too much. The improving Mighty Boss and Sydney representative Showtime to fill out the minor placings. All in all, another great Futurity Stakes finish is expected!

Trifecta
Brave Smash, Mighty Boss, Showtime

Best Roughie
Snitszon $26.00 SP

Futurity Stakes – check the odds on Crownbet

February 22, 2018 by : • 1 Comment

One Response to “2018 Futurity Stakes – Preview and Tips”

  1. Good result for me. Brave Smash the winner, Showtime third. With the other two Weir runners finishing second (Tosen Stardom) and fourth (Humidor).

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