2018 Doncaster Handicap – Preview and Tips

Perhaps considered the premium Group 1 event over a mile in Australia, run at handicap conditions. It is the prestigious Doncaster Handicap. Some great horses have won this race in the past, including champions Winx, Sunline and Super Impose.

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Here’s the field as they line up for the 2018 Doncaster Handicap:

20x41 1. Humidor (4), J: M Zahra, W: 58 Kgs, 9.00
1x025 2. Tosen Stardom (8), J: C Williams, W: 57.5 Kgs, 26.00
62x12 3. Happy Clapper (1), J: B Shinn, W: 57 Kgs, 5.00
0x314 4. Endless Drama (3), J: G Schofield, W: 53.5 Kgs, 26.00
24263 5. Prized Icon (5), J: B Melham, W: 53.5 Kgs, 34.00
41914 6. Crack Me Up (11), J: J Collett, W: 53 Kgs, 18.00
13x35 7. Invincible Gem (12), J: M Walker, W: 52 Kgs, 31.00
230x2 8. Tom Melbourne (14), J: K McEvoy, W: 52 Kgs, 16.00
X1113 9. Kementari (2), J: B Avdulla, W: 51.5 Kgs, 3.70
60x31 10. Comin' Through (7), J: T Clark, W: 51.5 Kgs, 17.00
X3111 11. Lanciato (13), J: Ms R King, W: 51 Kgs, 18.00
70x40 12. Egg Tart (9), J: C Newitt, W: 50.5 Kgs, 34.00
42051 13. Arbeitsam (10), J: M Dee, W: 50 Kgs, 26.00
X2523 14. Mister Sea Wolf (16), J: J Ford, W: 50 Kgs, 67.00
59x32 15. Cool Chap (6), J: C Parish, W: 50 Kgs, 61.00
X1371 16. D'Argento (15), J: C Brown, W: 49 Kgs, 7
.00

The two Darren Weir runners at the top of the order look like good prospects. You can never count out Humidor in any Group 1 feature like a Doncaster. Distance will suit, so too a wet track if it gets to that. At $9.00 for an SP, that is a fair call. I’m not quite sold on Tosen Stardom. His current form is patchy, and his mind hasn’t been on the job. I think his SP is a fair reflection.

Chris Waller has a huge lineup of horses in the Doncaster. Let’s thin the field. Two I normally admire but in this race, I can’t have them. These two are Egg Tart, who is horribly out of form and Tom Melbourne, who doesn’t know how to win a Group 1. On the upside, Rosehill Guineas winner D’Argento gets in at the lightest weight of 49kgs, and only a few top jockeys can ride at that weight, so Corey Brown gets the nod in lieu of regular rider Hugh Bowman who can’t ride that low. He’s a good chance, and Waller thinks he’s better over the mile than the Derby distance.

Three-year-old Kementari will start favourite, and if he can race as well as he did in the Randwick Guineas, then he’s right up there. Lining up against the older horses is always a worry, but he did so last start against Winx and Happy Clapper, so that won’t phase him. Has been the market preference for some weeks now.

Popular horse Happy Clapper will likely start the second favourite, and he always gives a good account of himself. Likes the track, has won the Epsom Handicap last year (same distance) so has credentials. Gave Winx a hurry-up last start. Look for a late charge.

Some of the horses who could be probable place chances include former Queenslander Crack Me Up, now trained at Warwick Farm by Bjorn Baker. He won the Liverpool City Cup the other week and finished in behind Winx in the George Ryder. Won’t mind if the track is soft. Invincible Gem is another contender, that I talked about in the lead-up to the George Ryder. Had the pacemaker role and wasn’t disgraced in her fifth placing. This is no less tough but is certainly a place chance.

Winner:
I’m going to go with Happy Clapper as a sentimental bet to win this year’s Doncaster. Maybe Kementari for second with Humidor for third. My prediction is that it will be a blanket finish so place bets could be all over the place. Good luck.

Trifecta
Happy Clapper, Kementari, Humidor.

Best Roughie:
Prized Icon at $34. Usually never runs a bad race at Randwick and over a mile, I think he’s found his optimum distance despite winning over longer journeys in previous races.

Doncaster Handicap – check the odds on William Hill

April 5, 2018 by : • No Comments

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