2017 Racing Preview – Doncaster, TJ Stakes, Australian Derby, Produce Stakes

Race 6 – Inglis Sires’

Frolic is the early favourite with Luxbet to win the 2017 Inglis Sires’.

Frolic – $5.00
Frolic came second in the Golden Slipper to She Will Reign, she did beat Tulip though. Frolic return to Randwick after winning the Reisling, this time defeating She Will Reign. At her best, Frolic is your best bet for this race. Tommy Berry will ride the 2 year old filly.

Tullip – $6.00
Tullip won the Magic Night a few weeks back before finishing third in the Golden Slipper last race. It was her first career heavy start and Randwick is expected to be a soft/heavy track. She’s ridden by in-form jockey, Kerrin McEvoy and will start in the 2 barrier.

Menari – $9.50
Menari has finished outside the top three in his last two starts, but a 4th finish out of 16 shows promising signs for the colt.

Prediction:

Frolic has form against Tullip and should win this.


Race 7 – BMW Australian Derby

Gingernuts – $3.40
Gingernuts is the strong favourite for the BMW Australian Derby and the gelding is aiming for her fifth straight win. She won the Rosehill Gunineas last start, defeating Inference and So Si Bon by 2+ lengths. She looks like a key player in this race.

Inference – $4.40
Inference lost to Gingernuts in the Rosehill Guineas but still remains as the one of the top favourites for the Australian Derby. He’s coming a close win at the Randwick Guineas and will need to show the same form in this race. He has an impressive 40% career win rate and 80% career place rate.

Jon Snow – $7.00
Jon Snow won the Tulloch last start after a 21 day spell, defeating Prized Icon by 2.80 lengths. He has a 64% career place record and remains as a solid trifecta/quinella bet.

Anaheim – $8.00
Anaheim has finished just outside the top three placings in the last two races, but could give the favourites a shake. He started his career with 7 straight races inside the top three.

So Si Bon – $10.00
So Si Bon returned to form with a third place finish in the Rosehill Guineas last start. He’s been poor in the last twelve months (1 win from 11 starts) and will need a much improved performance to win this race.

Prediction:

The form of Gingernuts is hard to bet against, Jon Snow is our recommended place bet.


Race 8 – T.J Smith Stakes

Chautauqua – $5.00
Chautauqua has taken out the last two T.J Smith’s and starts as the favourite in 2017. He was well beaten by Winx (can’t blame him) and Le Romain last start, but finished third. At his best, Chautauqua is a quality horse and loves this distance.

Astern – $6.00
Astern resumes from a long spell in the stables after finishing second in the Coolmore Stud Stakes last year. First up, Astern has a career win rate of 100% having won all 3 starts from a spell.

Russian Revolution – $6.00
If you’re looking for a value bet, Russian Revolution has impressive form coming into the T.J Smith Stakes. He won the Galaxy last start after a 140 day spell. His career win and place rate is 83%, so he’s always in the running.

Prediction:

It’s a tough split between Chautauqua and Astern, we’re going with Astern due to a 3-0 first up record. Russian Revolution for third.


Race 9 – Doncaster Mile

Le Romain – $5.50
Le Romain is the hot favourite for the Doncaster Mile after winning the Cantella Stakes and Southern Cross Stakes at Randwick over the last month. He has a 50% career win record at Randwick and at this distance.

Redkirk Warrior – $9.00
Redkirk Warrior has a 3-0 record second up and won the Newmarket Stakes last start.

Palentino – $9.50
Palentino returned to form with a victory at the Blamey Stakes after a 6 race stretch outside of the top three. He’s 3 from 5 at this distance and remains as place value bet.

Hauraki – $10.00
In 12 starts at Randwick, Hauraki has 3 wins, 3 seconds and 3 thirds. Although, he’s lost the last two against Le Romain.

Prediction:

Le Romain loves the distance and track but Redkirk Warrior is a career second-up winner, we’ll go with Le Romain.

March 30, 2017 by : • No Comments

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