2016 Melbourne Cup Betting Preview

Read the following 2016 Melbourne Cup betting preview for an overview of every runner in the race that stops the nation.

Hartnell is the early favourite ($5.00) after finishing second to Winx in the Cox Plate. 2015 saw a $101.00 win the Cup in Prince of Penzance with Michelle Payne aboard (First women jockey to win the Cup). Katelyn Mallyon is the only women jockey of the field this year and will ride Assign.

Melbourne Cup Stats

Five-year-olds have the most wins in the history of the Melbourne Cup with 44.
The list of five year olds in the field this year includes:

  • Bondi Beach
  • Exospheric
  • Beautiful Romance
  • Grey Lion
  • Oceanographer
  • Pentathlon

The next best is four year olds with 42 wins, Jameka ($8.50) is the only 4 year old in the race.

Betting by Barrier

The best barrier to start from in the Cup has been number 5 and 11.

  • Barrier 5 (Bondi Beach) has the most Melbourne Cup wins since 1924.
  • Barrier 11 (Grand Marshal) has the most Melbourne Cup wins in the last 14 years.

Betting by Weight

In the history of the Cup, 54.5kgs is the best weight with 8 wins, four horses are currently at 54.5kgs:

  • Almoonqith (54.5kgs)
  • Gallante (54.5kgs)
  • Grand Marshal (54.5kgs)
  • Jameka (54.5kgs)

The Melbourne Cup Favourites:

Hartnell is the 2016 Melbourne Cup favourite at fixed odds of $5.00 with Luxbet. He’s won three of his last five races and came second to Winx in the Cox Plate.

Oceanographer ($6.50) is second favourite after winning the Lexus last Saturday. The question mark on Oceanographer is can he backup for the Cup in a few days time.

Jameka ($8.50) is third in the betting after taking out the 2016 Caulfield Cup. She is the youngest horse (4 year old) of the race.

Bondi Beach is next in the betting at $9.50 and gets a favourable barrier to start the race. Bondi Beach has been racing in Ireland recently and has finished first twice and third twice in the last four.

Middle Priced

Outside of $10 is Heartbreak City ($16.00) from France with excellent recent form in the United Kingdom. Heartbreak City has won his last three races, two at the same distance as the Cup (3200m).

Next in the betting is Big Orange ($17.00) who finished fifth in the Melbourne Cup last year. Big Orange is also in good form with two wins in his last two starts, including the Goodwood Cup (3219m). He gets a favourable barrier (7) this year after starting in 23 last year.

Then comes Wicklow Brave at $17.00 and he starts from the 24 barrier. He was a winner in his last race and thrashed Trip to Paris (fourth in the 2015 Cup) by 16 lengths.

Almandin ($17.00) is attempting 3200m for the first time but he has two wins in a row over 2400m. He won the Bart Cummings at Flemington coming from the back of the field.

Exospheric has been backed into $19.00 after starting at $21.00. Damien Oliver rides the runner this year and is the most experienced jockey of the field (26 starts, 3 wins).

Qewy is the market mover after starting at $31.00 into a $21.00 fixed price. He won the Geelong Cup in 2016 against Grey Lion and Oceanographer.

Japanese horse, Curren Mirotic ($31.00) is the veteran of the race at 9 nine years old. He has the tied lowest win percentage over his career at 16%.

Who Shot Thebarman ($35.00) has form in the Cup with a third finish in 2014.

Outsiders

Two runners from the 2015 Melbourne Cup could be a chance with Excess Knowledge ($71.00) who finished seventh in last years Cup. Our Ivanhowe ($41.00) came tenth in the 2015 Melbourne Cup.

Assign will be ridden by the only female jockey of the race. He started at $51.00 and is now out to $71.00 fixed odds.

Pentathlon and Rose of Virginia round out the betting at 100+ fixed odds with Luxbet. Last years winner won at the starting price of $101.00.

Melbourne Cup Trifecta

1. Big Orange
2. Jameka
3. Hartnell
4. Grand Marshal
5. Oceanographer
6. Bondi Beach

Bet on the Melbourne Cup

2016 Melbourne Cup Betting Preview
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October 30, 2016 by : • No Comments

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